Stock Analysis: Boustead Holdings Berhad

Recently there is an escalated interests in Recovery Stocks and we do see some of them had a good run. I am going to do a quick analysis on Boustead Holdings Berhad as I realized that there isn't much of interest owing to the shareholding structure and a huge unlisted and listed companies under the big umbrella Boustead Berhad. 

According to their 2019 Annual Report, Boustead Holdings listed their subsidiaries under Page 262. There are a long list of companies and I will put down the major ones in the below table.
Boustead Major Subsidiaries and Affiliates
Boustead Major Subsidiaries and Affiliates


You can see from the above table that Boustead has 4 listed subsidiaries and affiliates, namely Boustead Plantations, Boustead Heavy Industry and Construction, Pharmaniaga and Affin Bank Berhad. There have a tonne of unlisted entities which will include the University of Nottingham in Malaysia, Cadbury Confectionery Malaysia, Sissons Marketing, Kao (Malaysia), Mutiara Rini (think Mutiara Damansara), Hotel and Resorts, BHP Petroleum, IKANO etc. 

On 3rd Dec 2020, the closing price is RM0.625 and command a market capitalization of RM1,267mil. I compare the market cap of the 4 listed companies look at how much they are worth. If I add all the corresponding value (percentage owned by Boustead Holdings), the collective market cap is RM2,377mil and Net Tangible Asset is RM 3,760mil. One of the main reason is Affin Bank Berhad is trading at 1/3 of the NTA. 

What do you get for paying RM0.625 per share for Boustead Holdings?
By paying RM0.625/share for Boustead Holdings, essentially you're also buying a portion (based on how much Boustead Holdings own) of the 4 listed companies at a steep discount (i.e. 66% discount to the NTA, 47% discount to the listed Market Cap). On top of that, you get a bunch of companies (I mean a whole bunch of them) free of charge. Is this a good value investing? It's a not a straight-forward answer but let's find out further below.

Earnings vs Value Trap
No doubt that Boustead Holdings has a long list of companies under it and also lots of valuable asset, the earnings were not so fortunate. 
Boustead Holdings: Last 5 years Quarterly Profit (after Taxation)
Boustead Holdings: Last 5 years Quarterly Profit (after Taxation)

As you can see, profit for Boustead Holdings has been on the downtrend for the past 2-3 years and in Q4 2019, there is a big write down. However, the losses seemed to be under control now and businesses is slowly stabilizing. 

Boustead Holdings is definitely a bargain from Value Investing perspective. However, due to its sluggish earnings, it could also mean that it is a Value Trap for many. Now, let's look at who are the largest shareholders.
Boustead Holdings 5 largest shareholders
Boustead Holdings 5 largest shareholders

What Lies Ahead?
Recently, Boustead Holdings has announced that Dato’ Sri Mohammed Shazalli Ramly will be their new Managing Director. As you can see that Boustead Holdings is currently deemed as a 'conglomerate' and 'holding company', valuation is not exactly attractive. Also, a lot of their businesses are suffering or it's not efficient and generating good profit. 

1. Potential Restructuring and Sale of Non-Core, Non-Strategic, Non-profitable Asset.
There were market talks that the majority shareholder, LTAT is looking into possibility of restructuring Boustead Holdings. There are certainly a lot of unlisted and listed assets that Boustead Holdings can look forward to monetize and pare down loans and save on interest costs. This exercise will bring value to existing investors.

2. Potential Privatization
Boustead Holding due to its very attractive and deep value is very ripe for privatization. Privatization will allow majority investor to perform restructuring easier and also unleash the value within the holding company. 

3. Recovery in businesses 
Businesses of Boustead Holdings are slowly recovering post MCOs. 

For those investors who are patient, I believe that this could mean a meaningful bet. 

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